Even If You’re All-Powerful, It’s Hard To Fix The Economy : Planet Money : NPR
The world inside Mark Zandi’s computer model feels pretty familiar. It’s full of people who are worried about the economy. Their homes are being foreclosed on. They’re paying more for gas. Something like 13 million of them can’t find jobs.
Zandi is the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, and he built his model to predict what’s going to happen in the real world. When he plugs what he thinks is going to happen in the real world, his model spits out a pretty grim result: Four years from now, the unemployment rate will be 6.6 percent. That’s lower than today, but still much higher than the 5 percent rate that was typical before the recession.